Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.008177 0.009588 0.011276 0.013473 0.016308 0.019912 0.024958
2025-09-14 0.006133 0.007720 0.009825 0.012919 0.017534 0.024506 0.036620
2025-09-21 0.005170 0.006818 0.009161 0.012914 0.019164 0.030046 0.053069
2025-09-28 0.004664 0.006391 0.008995 0.013492 0.021787 0.038408 0.082106
2025-10-05 0.004407 0.006257 0.009206 0.014690 0.025932 0.052279 0.143337
2025-10-12 0.004080 0.005951 0.009062 0.015197 0.028928 0.065947 0.235409
2025-10-19 0.003707 0.005510 0.008601 0.014966 0.030197 0.076209 0.349689
2025-10-26 0.003446 0.005220 0.008353 0.015096 0.032414 0.091836 0.587537
2025-11-02 0.003179 0.004884 0.007968 0.014836 0.033510 0.104959 0.944420
2025-11-09 0.002881 0.004463 0.007364 0.013958 0.032518 0.108615 1.257933
2025-11-16 0.002642 0.004125 0.006881 0.013273 0.031893 0.113859 1.775208
2025-11-23 0.002517 0.003982 0.006765 0.013438 0.034065 0.137291 4.195936
2025-11-30 0.002330 0.003724 0.006416 0.013045 0.034535 0.154506 10.496206
2025-12-07 0.002151 0.003465 0.006040 0.012523 0.034413 0.169260 33.481917
2025-12-14 0.002034 0.003316 0.005875 0.012519 0.036306 0.206607 3029.898457
2025-12-21 0.001973 0.003264 0.005910 0.013073 0.040912 0.291967 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001954 0.003294 0.006127 0.014219 0.049314 0.500697 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001892 0.003230 0.006123 0.014703 0.055069 0.761967 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001796 0.003087 0.005914 0.014483 0.056769 0.966166 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001726 0.002994 0.005815 0.014607 0.060853 1.414273 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001643 0.002868 0.005620 0.014358 0.062367 1.846256 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001538 0.002688 0.005275 0.013518 0.059163 1.834779 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001450 0.002537 0.004994 0.012863 0.057021 1.918983 NaN